Senate
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Democratic
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Republican
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Since you opened
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Last 15 min
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No usable quote right now. Market on Polymarket ↗
What the money says.
Live Polymarket prices for the 2026 US midterms, Tuesday, November 3. Market odds, not results. Nothing here is guessed.
Live · updated — · next check in 60s
Control of Congress
The chance each party controls the chamber after the election.
House
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Democratic
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Republican
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Since you opened
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Last 15 min
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No usable quote right now. Market on Polymarket ↗
Balance of power
Four ways the two chambers can split, priced as one market. Each bar reads left to right like its label: Senate, then House, in the party's colour.
Democrats Sweep
100.0%
D Senate, R House
0.1%
R Senate, D House
0.1%
Republicans Sweep
0.1%
Senate races
The ten most-traded Senate races on Polymarket, grouped by how sure the market is about the leader. Closest races first. Flip means the leader is not from the party that holds the seat today.
Near-certain, by price
leader priced over 80% · 1 race
Alaska
Flip · now R94.0%
Mary Peltola (D)Sen. Dan Sullivan (R) · 5.9%Since you opened 0.0 pts · Last 15 min —Polymarket ↗
No quote
no usable price right now · 9 races
Texas
Seat · now R—
—— · —Since you opened — · Last 15 min —Polymarket ↗Michigan
Seat · now D—
—— · —Since you opened — · Last 15 min —Polymarket ↗Maine
Seat · now R—
—— · —Since you opened — · Last 15 min —Polymarket ↗Ohio
Seat · now R—
—— · —Since you opened — · Last 15 min —Polymarket ↗Kansas
Seat · now R—
—— · —Since you opened — · Last 15 min —Polymarket ↗South Carolina
Seat · now R—
—— · —Since you opened — · Last 15 min —Polymarket ↗Iowa
Seat · now R—
—— · —Since you opened — · Last 15 min —Polymarket ↗Nebraska
Seat · now R—
—— · —Since you opened — · Last 15 min —Polymarket ↗New Hampshire
Seat · now D—
—— · —Since you opened — · Last 15 min —Polymarket ↗
Prices from Polymarket, read live every 60 seconds while this tab is open. 6/10 markets quoted as of —. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not results. Not advice.